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FTMatchday 17

Leeds United vs Crystal Palace: Prediction

📍 Elland Road

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
Leeds UnitedCrystal Palace
  1. Dominic Calvert-Lewin38'
  2. 42'Maxence Lacroixyellow card
  3. 45'Marc Guéhiyellow card
  4. Dominic Calvert-Lewinassist Jaka Bijol45'
  5. 46'Will Hugheson
  6. Ethan Ampadu60'
  7. 65'Nathaniel Clyneon
  8. Brenden Aaronsonon77'
  9. Noah Okaforon77'
  10. 77'Jean-Philippe Matetaon
  11. 77'Eddie Nketiahon
  12. Jayden Bogleon80'
  13. 86'Yeremi Pinoon
  14. Ethan Ampaduon87'
  15. Dominic Calvert-Lewinon87'
  16. 90'Adam Whartonyellow card
  17. 90'Justin Devennypenalty
  18. Anton Stach90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Leeds UnitedCrystal Palace
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)2
  • 20Shots9
  • 8Shots on target3
  • 9Corners5
  • 5Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides3
  • 2Saves2
  • 400Passes362

Line-ups

Leeds United

  • 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 6Joe Rodon
  • 15Jaka Bijol
  • 4Ethan Ampadu
  • 19Noah Okafor
  • 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • 5Pascal Struijk
  • 2Jayden Bogle
  • 11Brenden Aaronson
  • 18Anton Stach

Crystal Palace

  • 17Nathaniel Clyne
  • 19Will Hughes
  • 1Dean Henderson
  • 14Jean-Philippe Mateta
  • 9Eddie Nketiah
  • 3Tyrick Mitchell
  • 5Maxence Lacroix
  • 26Chris Richards
  • 6Marc Guéhi
  • 10Yeremi Pino
  • 20Adam Wharton

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1521

Recent form

Leeds UnitedLLWDD
Crystal PalaceWLWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Leeds United38-747
2Crystal Palace38-1045

Head to head

  • Leeds United 0–0 Crystal Palace2026-09-20
  • Crystal Palace 0–0 Leeds United2026-03-15

Match preview

Leeds United host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on 20 December 2025. Leeds United sit 14th on 47 points and Crystal Palace are 15th on 45. Leeds United have won 1 of their last 5 (LLWDD), while Crystal Palace have won 3 of 5 (WLWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Leeds United won 0, Crystal Palace won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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