Kick-off · Sat, 13 Mar, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 29
Leeds United vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction
Leeds United39%Home win
Brighton and Hove Albion39% Home win25% Draw36% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.43 – 1.37
Team rating (Elo)1513 – 1565
Recent form
Leeds UnitedWDLDDBrighton and Hove AlbionWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 8 | +16 | 16 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 8 | +3 | 11 |
Head to head
- Brighton and Hove Albion 1–1 Leeds United2026-09-05
- Leeds United 1–0 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-05-17
- Brighton and Hove Albion 3–0 Leeds United2025-11-01
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
