Kick-off · Sat, 6 Feb, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 24
Leeds United vs Bournemouth: Prediction
Leeds United44%Home win
Bournemouth44% Home win25% Draw31% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.54 – 1.27
Team rating (Elo)1516 – 1534
Recent form
Leeds UnitedWDLDDBournemouthDLLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds United | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds United2026-04-22
- Leeds United 2–2 Bournemouth2025-09-27
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
