FTMatchday 6

Leeds United vs Bournemouth: Prediction

📍 Elland Road

Leeds United2

Bournemouth2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

Leeds UnitedBournemouth

12'Álex Jiménezyellow card
26'Antoine Semenyo
Joe Rodonassist Sean Longstaff37'
Sean Longstaff54'
60'Ryan Christieon
60'Amine Adlion
60'Justin Kluiverton
Noah Okaforon67'
Brenden Aaronsonyellow card70'
73'Álex Jiménezon
81'Tyler Adamson
Brenden Aaronsonon87'
Ethan Ampaduyellow card90'
90'Eli Junior Kroupiassist Marcos Senesi
90'Eli Junior Kroupiyellow card
Dominic Calvert-Lewinon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Leeds UnitedBournemouth

41%Possession59%
2Expected goals (xG)1
19Shots12
8Shots on target5
7Corners4
12Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
3Saves6
349Passes501

Line-ups

Leeds United

26Karl Darlow
9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
8Sean Longstaff
6Joe Rodon
4Ethan Ampadu
19Noah Okafor
3Gabriel Gudmundsson
5Pascal Struijk
2Jayden Bogle
11Brenden Aaronson
18Anton Stach

Bournemouth

10Ryan Christie
19Justin Kluivert
24Antoine Semenyo
12Tyler Adams
5Marcos Senesi
9Evanilson
3Adrien Truffert
18Bafodé Diakité
21Amine Adli
1Đorđe Petrović
20Álex Jiménez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1482

Recent form

Leeds UnitedLDDLW

BournemouthWLWWD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bournemouth	38	+4	57
2	Leeds United	38	-7	47

Head to head

Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds United2026-10-31
Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds United2026-04-22

Match preview

Leeds United host Bournemouth in the Premier League on 27 September 2025. Leeds United sit 14th on 47 points and Bournemouth are 6th on 57. Leeds United have won 1 of their last 5 (LDDLW), while Bournemouth have won 3 of 5 (WLWWD). In their last 2 meetings, Leeds United won 0, Bournemouth won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.