Kick-off · Sat, 20 Feb, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 26
Leeds United vs Aston Villa: Prediction
Leeds United45%Home win
Aston Villa45% Home win25% Draw30% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.57 – 1.25
Team rating (Elo)1513 – 1541
Recent form
Leeds UnitedWDLDDAston VillaDWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds United | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
Head to head
- Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds United2026-02-21
- Leeds United 1–2 Aston Villa2025-11-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
