Leeds United vs Aston Villa: Prediction
📍 Elland Road
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⚽Lukas Nmecha8'
- ⇄Anton Stachon23'
- Jayden Bogleyellow card41'
- Ao Tanakayellow card45'
- 46'⇄Lucas Digneon
- 46'⇄Emiliano Buendiaon
- 48'⚽Morgan Rogersassist Donyell Malen
- 53'John McGinnyellow card
- Ethan Ampaduyellow card63'
- 68'⇄John McGinnon
- 68'⇄Ollie Watkinson
- ⇄Lukas Nmechaon71'
- ⇄Lukas Nmechaon71'
- Pascal Struijkyellow card74'
- 75'⚽Morgan Rogers
- ⇄Noah Okaforon80'
- ⇄Brenden Aaronsonon80'
- 84'⇄Youri Tielemanson
- Degnand Gnontoyellow card89'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 47%Possession53%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 14Shots14
- 5Shots on target3
- 3Corners3
- 18Fouls16
- 5Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides2
- 2Saves3
- 374Passes441
Line-ups
Leeds United
- 8Sean Longstaff
- 6Joe Rodon
- 4Ethan Ampadu
- 19Noah Okafor
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 18Anton Stach
- 14Lukas Nmecha
Aston Villa
- 23Emiliano Martinez
- 10Emiliano Buendia
- 12Lucas Digne
- 8Youri Tielemans
- 11Ollie Watkins
- 7John McGinn
- 2Matty Cash
- 4Ezri Konsa
- 14Pau Torres
- 44Boubacar Kamara
- 27Morgan Rogers
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Leeds UnitedLLWLL
Aston VillaWWWLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 38 | +7 | 65 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Head to head
- Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds United2026-02-21
Match preview
Leeds United host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 23 November 2025. Leeds United sit 14th on 47 points and Aston Villa are 4th on 65. Leeds United have won 1 of their last 5 (LLWLL), while Aston Villa have won 4 of 5 (WWWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Leeds United won 0, Aston Villa won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
