Leeds United vs Arsenal: Prediction
📍 Elland Road
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 27'⚽Martín Zubimendiassist Noni Madueke
- Gabriel Gudmundssonyellow card37'
- 38'⚽Karl Darlowown goal
- ⇄James Justinon46'
- ⇄Ilia Gruevon46'
- 59'Jurrien Timberyellow card
- 61'⇄Kai Havertzon
- 61'⇄Noni Maduekeon
- 69'⚽Viktor Gyökeresassist Gabriel Martinelli
- ⇄Brenden Aaronsonon71'
- 75'⇄Viktor Gyökereson
- 76'⇄Piero Hincapiéon
- ⇄Anton Stachon81'
- 81'⇄Leandro Trossardon
- ⇄Dominic Calvert-Lewinon85'
- 86'⚽Gabriel Jesusassist Martin Ødegaard
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 50%Possession50%
- 0.15Expected goals (xG)2.19
- 3Shots14
- 1Shots on target8
- 4Corners12
- 10Fouls7
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides1
- 4Saves1
- 395Passes395
Line-ups
Leeds United
- 26Karl Darlow
- 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 6Joe Rodon
- 24James Justin
- 4Ethan Ampadu
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 18Anton Stach
- 44Ilia Gruev
Arsenal
- 1David Raya
- 19Leandro Trossard
- 41Declan Rice
- 29Kai Havertz
- 20Noni Madueke
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 2William Saliba
- 12Jurrien Timber
- 36Martín Zubimendi
- 14Viktor Gyökeres
- 5Piero Hincapié
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Leeds UnitedDDLWD
ArsenalWWDDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 2–1 Leeds United2026-10-10
- Arsenal 5–0 Leeds United2025-08-23
Match preview
Leeds United host Arsenal in the Premier League on 31 January 2026. Leeds United sit 14th on 47 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. Leeds United have won 1 of their last 5 (DDLWD), while Arsenal have won 2 of 5 (WWDDL). In their last 2 meetings, Leeds United won 0, Arsenal won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
