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FTMatchday 2

Lech Poznań vs AGF Aarhus: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Lech PoznańAGF Aarhus
  1. Robert Gumny21'
  2. 32'Tobias Bech Kristensenassist Kristian Malt Arnstad
  3. Antoni Kozubalyellow card40'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1497

Recent form

Lech PoznańW
AGF AarhusL
#TeamPGDPts
1AGF Aarhus4-36
2Lech Poznań203

Head to head

  • AGF Aarhus 1–4 Lech Poznań2026-07-21

Match preview

Lech Poznań host AGF Aarhus in the UEFA Champions League on 29 July 2026. Lech Poznań sit 45th on 3 points and AGF Aarhus are 31st on 6. Lech Poznań have won 1 of their last 1 (W), while AGF Aarhus have won 0 of 1 (L). In their last 1 meetings, Lech Poznań won 1, AGF Aarhus won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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