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FTMatchday 5

Le Mans vs Lorient: Prediction

Le Mans2
FT
Lorient1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Le MansLorient
  1. 11'Jean-Victor Makengoyellow card
  2. 17'Panos Katserison
  3. 19'Arsène Kouassiyellow card
  4. Habib Dialloyellow card51'
  5. Habib Dialloassist Lucas Bretelle57'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1489

Recent form

Le MansDLDD
LorientLDLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Lorient8+112
2Le Mans9-77

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Le Mans host Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 19 September 2026. Le Mans sit 17th on 7 points and Lorient are 10th on 12. Le Mans have won 0 of their last 4 (DLDD), while Lorient have won 1 of 5 (LDLWD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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