Skip
EnglishEN ▾
Kick-off · Matchday 12

Le Mans vs Lille: Prediction

Le Mans
44%Away win
Lille

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.26 – 1.56
Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1459

Recent form

Le MansWLLDL
LilleLDLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Lille9+618
2Le Mans9-77

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Le Mans host Lille in the Ligue 1 on 28 November 2026. Le Mans sit 17th on 7 points and Lille are 2nd on 18. Le Mans have won 1 of their last 5 (WLLDL), while Lille have won 1 of 5 (LDLDW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Le Mans 31%, the draw 25% and Lille 44%, so Lille are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming