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FTMatchday 4

Le Mans vs Lens: Prediction

Le Mans2
FT
Lens2

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1479

Recent form

Le MansDLD
LensWWLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Lens9+313
2Le Mans9-77

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Le Mans host Lens in the Ligue 1 on 13 September 2026. Le Mans sit 17th on 7 points and Lens are 8th on 13. Le Mans have won 0 of their last 3 (DLD), while Lens have won 3 of 5 (WWLLW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming