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Kick-off · Matchday 12

Le Havre vs Strasbourg: Prediction

Le Havre
39%Away win
Strasbourg

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.37 – 1.43
Team rating (Elo)1415 – 1485

Recent form

Le HavreLLLLL
StrasbourgDLLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Strasbourg8-67
2Le Havre9-112

Head to head

  • Strasbourg 1–0 Le Havre2025-09-14

Match preview

Le Havre host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 on 28 November 2026. Le Havre sit 18th on 2 points and Strasbourg are 16th on 7. Le Havre have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLL), while Strasbourg have won 0 of 5 (DLLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Le Havre won 0, Strasbourg won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Le Havre 36%, the draw 25% and Strasbourg 39%, so Strasbourg are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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