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FTMatchday 5

Le Havre vs Lorient: Prediction

📍 Stade Océane

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Le HavreLorient
  1. 3'Bamo Meïtéyellow card
  2. Abdoulaye Tourepenalty4'
  3. Arouna Sanganteyellow card15'
  4. 21'Aiyegun Tosinassist Dermane Karim
  5. Ayumu Sekoyellow card25'
  6. 41'Laurent Abergelyellow card
  7. Mbwana Samattayellow card45'
  8. Issa Soumaréassist Gautier Lloris47'
  9. 50'Montassar Talbiyellow card
  10. 52'Arthur Avomyellow card
  11. 55'Mohamed Bambayellow card
  12. 62'Mohamed Bambaon
  13. Fodé Doucouréon63'
  14. Yassine Kechtaon63'
  15. 63'Aiyegun Tosinon
  16. 74'Théo Le Brison
  17. Mbwana Samattaon77'
  18. Abdoulaye Toureon85'
  19. Thomas Delaineon85'
  20. 90'Abdoulaye Fayeyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Le HavreLorient
  • 60%Possession40%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 12Shots8
  • 2Shots on target4
  • 6Corners2
  • 20Fouls15
  • 3Yellow cards6
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 3Saves0
  • 552Passes381

Line-ups

Le Havre

  • 4Gautier Lloris
  • 94Abdoulaye Toure
  • 70Mbwana Samatta
  • 23Thomas Delaine
  • 13Fodé Doucouré
  • 7Loïc Négo
  • 15Ayumu Seko
  • 99Mory Diaw
  • 93Arouna Sangante
  • 45Issa Soumaré
  • 8Yassine Kechta

Lorient

  • 38Yvon Mvogo
  • 6Laurent Abergel
  • 3Montassar Talbi
  • 15Aiyegun Tosin
  • 11Théo Le Bris
  • 5Bamo Meïté
  • 9Mohamed Bamba
  • 29Dermane Karim
  • 62Arthur Avom
  • 43Arsène Kouassi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1415 – 1472

Recent form

Le HavreLLWL
LorientLWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Le Havre9-59
2Lorient9-98

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Le Havre host Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 21 September 2025. Le Havre sit 14th on 9 points and Lorient are 16th on 8. Le Havre have won 1 of their last 4 (LLWL), while Lorient have won 1 of 4 (LWLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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