Köln vs Stuttgart: Prediction
📍 RheinEnergieStadion
Tipster consensus
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Recent form
KölnLWLDD
StuttgartWLDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuttgart | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 |
Head to head
- Stuttgart 4–1 Köln2026-09-04
- Stuttgart 3–1 Köln2026-02-14
- Köln 1–2 Stuttgart2025-09-28
Why the model leans Stuttgart
- Stuttgart rate higher on our strength scale (1531 vs 1442).
- Köln won 1 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Köln 0, Stuttgart 3, draws 0.
- League table: Köln #13, Stuttgart #9.
- Expected goals from the model: Köln 1.4, Stuttgart 1.8.
Match preview
Köln host Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 30 January 2027. Köln sit 13th on 8 points and Stuttgart are 9th on 9. Köln have won 1 of their last 5 (LWLDD), while Stuttgart have won 2 of 5 (WLDLW). In their last 3 meetings, Köln won 0, Stuttgart won 3 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Köln 30%, the draw 23% and Stuttgart 47%, so Stuttgart are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
