Kick-off · Sun, 8 Nov, 08:00 pm ISTMatchday 9
Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction
Köln48%Away win
Bayer Leverkusen29% Home win23% Draw48% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.35 – 1.78
Team rating (Elo)1440 – 1506
Recent form
KölnLLWLDBayer LeverkusenWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | Köln | 6 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen2026-04-25
- Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Köln2025-12-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
