Köln vs Augsburg: Prediction
📍 RheinEnergieStadion
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
KölnLWLDD
AugsburgLDLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augsburg | 7 | +3 | 8 |
| 2 | Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 |
Head to head
- Augsburg 2–0 Köln2026-02-27
- Köln 1–1 Augsburg2025-10-18
Why the model leans Köln
- Close call: 40% Köln, 24% draw, 36% Augsburg.
- Augsburg rate higher on our strength scale (1487 vs 1442).
- Köln are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Augsburg won 0 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Köln 0, Augsburg 1, draws 1.
Match preview
Köln host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 10 April 2027. Köln sit 13th on 8 points and Augsburg are 12th on 8. Köln have won 1 of their last 5 (LWLDD), while Augsburg have won 0 of 5 (LDLDL). In their last 2 meetings, Köln won 0, Augsburg won 1 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Köln 40%, the draw 24% and Augsburg 36%, so Köln are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
