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Kick-off · Sun, 30 May, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 38

Ipswich Town vs Everton: Prediction

Ipswich Town
47%Home win
Everton
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.62 – 1.21
Team rating (Elo)1484 – 1480

Recent form

Ipswich TownWLWLD
EvertonDWDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Everton8-110
2Ipswich Town8-410

Head to head

  • Everton 1–0 Ipswich Town2026-09-19

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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