Kick-off · Wed, 30 Dec, 01:00 am ISTMatchday 18
Hull City vs Leeds United: Prediction
Hull City44%Home win
Leeds United44% Home win25% Draw31% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.56 – 1.26
Team rating (Elo)1503 – 1516
Recent form
Hull CityDLDLDLeeds UnitedWDLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds United | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 2 | Hull City | 8 | +1 | 10 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
