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FTMatchday 20

Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin: Prediction

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Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
HoffenheimUnion Berlin
  1. Albian Hajdariyellow card8'
  2. 21'Stanley Nsokiyellow card
  3. Andrej Kramarićpenalty42'
  4. Andrej Kramarićassist Bazoumana Touré45'
  5. Tim Lemperleon46'
  6. Diogo Leiteown goal47'
  7. 54'Stanley Nsokion
  8. 54'Jeong Woo-yeongon
  9. 54'Oliver Burkeon
  10. 57'Andrej Ilićyellow card
  11. 68'Rani Khedira
  12. 75'Diogo Leiteon
  13. Fisnik Asllanion78'
  14. Andrej Kramarićon83'
  15. 83'Aljoscha Kemleinon
  16. Alexander Prassyellow card84'
  17. Bazoumana Touréon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

HoffenheimUnion Berlin
  • 59%Possession41%
  • 1.37Expected goals (xG)1.84
  • 9Shots16
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 3Corners10
  • 11Fouls18
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides0
  • 2Saves2
  • 449Passes286

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

  • 1Oliver Baumann
  • 27Andrej Kramarić
  • 5Ozan Kabak
  • 6Grischa Prömel
  • 34Vladimír Coufal
  • 19Tim Lemperle
  • 11Fisnik Asllani
  • 21Albian Hajdari
  • 7Leon Avdullahu
  • 2Robin Hranáč
  • 29Bazoumana Touré

Union Berlin

  • 7Oliver Burke
  • 8Rani Khedira
  • 4Diogo Leite
  • 5Danilho Doekhi
  • 34Stanley Nsoki
  • 1Frederik Rønnow
  • 19Janik Haberer
  • 11Jeong Woo-yeong
  • 14Leopold Querfeld
  • 6Aljoscha Kemlein
  • 23Andrej Ilić

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1455

Recent form

HoffenheimDWWWW
Union BerlinWDDDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Hoffenheim32+1157
2Union Berlin32-1535

Head to head

  • Union Berlin 2–4 Hoffenheim2025-09-13

Match preview

Hoffenheim host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 31 January 2026. Hoffenheim sit 5th on 57 points and Union Berlin are 13th on 35. Hoffenheim have won 4 of their last 5 (DWWWW), while Union Berlin have won 1 of 5 (WDDDL). In their last 1 meetings, Hoffenheim won 1, Union Berlin won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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