Hoffenheim vs St Pauli: Prediction
📍 PreZero Arena
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- Ozan Kabakyellow card21'
- 38'Danel Sinaniyellow card
- 45'⚽Mathias Pereira-Lageassist Manolis Saliakas
- 46'⇄Karol Metson
- ⇄Wouter Burgeron62'
- ⇄Robin Hranáčon74'
- ⇄Andrej Kramarićon74'
- 75'⇄Mathias Pereira-Lageon
- 80'Joel Fujitayellow card
- ⇄Albian Hajdarion86'
- 88'⇄Danel Sinanion
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 65%Possession35%
- 2.71Expected goals (xG)0.78
- 21Shots11
- 11Shots on target3
- 10Corners3
- 13Fouls7
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides1
- 2Saves11
- 561Passes305
Line-ups
Hoffenheim
- 1Oliver Baumann
- 27Andrej Kramarić
- 5Ozan Kabak
- 6Grischa Prömel
- 34Vladimír Coufal
- 18Wouter Burger
- 11Fisnik Asllani
- 21Albian Hajdari
- 7Leon Avdullahu
- 2Robin Hranáč
- 29Bazoumana Touré
St Pauli
- 7Jackson Irvine
- 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
- 5Hauke Wahl
- 8Eric Smith
- 16Joel Fujita
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 10Danel Sinani
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 3Karol Mets
- 2Manolis Saliakas
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
HoffenheimWWWLW
St PauliDDLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hoffenheim | 32 | +11 | 57 |
| 2 | St Pauli | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- St Pauli 0–3 Hoffenheim2025-10-19
Match preview
Hoffenheim host St Pauli in the Bundesliga on 28 February 2026. Hoffenheim sit 5th on 57 points and St Pauli are 18th on 23. Hoffenheim have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWLW), while St Pauli have won 1 of 5 (DDLWL). In their last 1 meetings, Hoffenheim won 1, St Pauli won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
