Hoffenheim vs Mainz: Prediction
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Match events
3 goals- 7'Dominik Kohryellow card
- 13'⚽Phillip Tietzassist Phillipp Mwene
- ⚽Fisnik Asllaniassist Bazoumana Touré23'
- 37'⇄Dominik Kohron
- Ozan Kabakyellow card45'
- 46'⇄Silvan Widmeron
- Vladimír Coufalyellow card47'
- ⇄Fisnik Asllanion61'
- ⇄Vladimír Coufalon61'
- 75'⇄Sheraldo Beckeron
- 75'⇄Jae-Sung Leeon
- Wouter Burgeryellow card79'
- 79'⚽Phillip Tietz
- Oliver Baumannyellow card80'
- ⇄Alexander Prasson84'
- ⇄Tim Lemperleon87'
- 87'⇄Paul Nebelon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 61%Possession39%
- 1.23Expected goals (xG)2.16
- 16Shots9
- 5Shots on target5
- 7Corners3
- 11Fouls5
- 4Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides4
- 3Saves4
- 495Passes310
Line-ups
Hoffenheim
- 1Oliver Baumann
- 5Ozan Kabak
- 6Grischa Prömel
- 13Bernardo
- 34Vladimír Coufal
- 18Wouter Burger
- 19Tim Lemperle
- 22Alexander Prass
- 11Fisnik Asllani
- 21Albian Hajdari
- 29Bazoumana Touré
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 21Danny da Costa
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 4Stefan Posch
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 23Sheraldo Becker
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 8Paul Nebel
- 20Phillip Tietz
- 33Daniel Batz
- 6Kaishu Sano
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
HoffenheimWLWDL
MainzLDDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hoffenheim | 32 | +11 | 57 |
| 2 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- Mainz 1–1 Hoffenheim2025-11-21
Match preview
Hoffenheim host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 4 April 2026. Hoffenheim sit 5th on 57 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. Hoffenheim have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWDL), while Mainz have won 2 of 5 (LDDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Hoffenheim won 0, Mainz won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
