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FTMatchday 22

Hoffenheim vs Freiburg: Prediction

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Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
HoffenheimFreiburg
  1. Bazoumana Touréyellow card9'
  2. Grischa Prömelyellow card24'
  3. 46'Cyriaque Iriéon
  4. Fisnik Asllaniassist Vladimír Coufal46'
  5. Ozan Kabakassist Vladimír Coufal51'
  6. Ozan Kabakyellow card53'
  7. 55'Patrick Osterhageyellow card
  8. 57'Maximilian Rosenfelderon
  9. 58'Yuito Suzukion
  10. 72'Derry Scherhanton
  11. Bazoumana Touréon73'
  12. Fisnik Asllanion74'
  13. Andrej Kramarićon86'
  14. 88'Philipp Treuon
  15. Vladimír Coufalon90'
  16. Valentin Gendreyassist Alexander Prass90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

HoffenheimFreiburg
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 1.80Expected goals (xG)0.71
  • 25Shots13
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 6Corners6
  • 6Fouls3
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 3Saves4
  • 522Passes329

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

  • 1Oliver Baumann
  • 27Andrej Kramarić
  • 5Ozan Kabak
  • 6Grischa Prömel
  • 34Vladimír Coufal
  • 18Wouter Burger
  • 11Fisnik Asllani
  • 21Albian Hajdari
  • 7Leon Avdullahu
  • 2Robin Hranáč
  • 29Bazoumana Touré

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 30Christian Gunter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 9Lucas Höler
  • 14Yuito Suzuki
  • 6Patrick Osterhage
  • 7Derry Scherhant
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 29Philipp Treu
  • 43Bruno Ogbus
  • 22Cyriaque Irié

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1518

Recent form

HoffenheimWWWWL
FreiburgLDWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Hoffenheim32+1157
2Freiburg32-841

Head to head

  • Freiburg 1–1 Hoffenheim2025-09-28

Match preview

Hoffenheim host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 14 February 2026. Hoffenheim sit 5th on 57 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. Hoffenheim have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWL), while Freiburg have won 2 of 5 (LDWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Hoffenheim won 0, Freiburg won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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