FTMatchday 6

Hoffenheim vs Köln: Prediction

📍 PreZero Arena

Hoffenheim0

Köln1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

HoffenheimKöln

Bazoumana Touréyellow card10'
16'Said El Malaassist Eric Martel
Bernardoyellow card20'
Wouter Burgeryellow card39'
46'Jan Thielmannon
Leon Avdullahuon65'
Tim Lemperleon65'
Muhammed Damaron70'
Fisnik Asllanion70'
72'Dominique Heintzon
72'Said El Malaon
84'Kristoffer Lund Hansenon
84'Ísak Bergmann Jóhannessonon
90'Sebastian Sebulonsenyellow card
Bernardoon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

HoffenheimKöln

61%Possession39%
1Expected goals (xG)1
15Shots9
4Shots on target4
11Corners6
15Fouls6
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides2
3Saves4
504Passes326

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

1Oliver Baumann
13Bernardo
34Vladimír Coufal
18Wouter Burger
19Tim Lemperle
10Muhammed Damar
11Fisnik Asllani
21Albian Hajdari
7Leon Avdullahu
2Robin Hranáč
29Bazoumana Touré

Köln

1Marvin Schwabe
29Jan Thielmann
3Dominique Heintz
4Timo Hübers
6Eric Martel
18Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
16Jakub Kamiński
32Kristoffer Lund Hansen
28Sebastian Sebulonsen
2Joël Schmied
13Said El Mala

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1442

Recent form

HoffenheimWLWLD

KölnWWDLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Hoffenheim	32	+11	57
2	Köln	32	-12	31

Head to head

Köln 3–2 Hoffenheim2026-08-29

Match preview

Hoffenheim host Köln in the Bundesliga on 3 October 2025. Hoffenheim sit 5th on 57 points and Köln are 14th on 31. Hoffenheim have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWLD), while Köln have won 2 of 5 (WWDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Hoffenheim won 0, Köln won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.