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FTMatchday 30

Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction

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Match events

3 goals
HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
  1. Wouter Burgeryellow card31'
  2. Andrej Kramarićpenalty42'
  3. 42'Niklas Suleon
  4. 60'Fábio Silvaon
  5. Bazoumana Touréon60'
  6. Wouter Burgeron60'
  7. 71'Marcel Sabitzeron
  8. 72'Daniel Svenssonon
  9. Bernardoon72'
  10. Alexander Prassyellow card77'
  11. Tim Lemperleon83'
  12. 84'Nico Schlotterbeckyellow card
  13. 87'Sehrou Guirassyassist Ramy Bensebaini
  14. 90'Julian Ryersonyellow card
  15. Andrej Kramarićpenalty90'
  16. 90'Samuele Inácioyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
  • 46%Possession54%
  • 2.11Expected goals (xG)0.73
  • 13Shots8
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 4Corners3
  • 14Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Offsides3
  • 2Saves2
  • 381Passes434

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

  • 1Oliver Baumann
  • 27Andrej Kramarić
  • 5Ozan Kabak
  • 13Bernardo
  • 34Vladimír Coufal
  • 18Wouter Burger
  • 19Tim Lemperle
  • 11Fisnik Asllani
  • 21Albian Hajdari
  • 7Leon Avdullahu
  • 29Bazoumana Touré

Borussia Dortmund

  • 25Niklas Sule
  • 20Marcel Sabitzer
  • 4Nico Schlotterbeck
  • 26Julian Ryerson
  • 21Fábio Silva
  • 1Gregor Kobel
  • 3Waldemar Anton
  • 24Daniel Svensson
  • 14Maximilian Beier
  • 17Carney Chukwuemeka
  • 7Jobe Bellingham

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1538

Recent form

HoffenheimWDLLD
Borussia DortmundWWWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Borussia Dortmund32+3671
2Hoffenheim32+1157

Head to head

  • Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia Dortmund2026-09-05
  • Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hoffenheim2025-12-07

Match preview

Hoffenheim host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 18 April 2026. Hoffenheim sit 5th on 57 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 71. Hoffenheim have won 1 of their last 5 (WDLLD), while Borussia Dortmund have won 4 of 5 (WWWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Hoffenheim won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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