Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction
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Match events
3 goals- Wouter Burgeryellow card31'
- ⚽Andrej Kramarićpenalty42'
- 42'⇄Niklas Suleon
- 60'⇄Fábio Silvaon
- ⇄Bazoumana Touréon60'
- ⇄Wouter Burgeron60'
- 71'⇄Marcel Sabitzeron
- 72'⇄Daniel Svenssonon
- ⇄Bernardoon72'
- Alexander Prassyellow card77'
- ⇄Tim Lemperleon83'
- 84'Nico Schlotterbeckyellow card
- 87'⚽Sehrou Guirassyassist Ramy Bensebaini
- 90'Julian Ryersonyellow card
- ⚽Andrej Kramarićpenalty90'
- 90'Samuele Inácioyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 46%Possession54%
- 2.11Expected goals (xG)0.73
- 13Shots8
- 4Shots on target3
- 4Corners3
- 14Fouls11
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 6Offsides3
- 2Saves2
- 381Passes434
Line-ups
Hoffenheim
- 1Oliver Baumann
- 27Andrej Kramarić
- 5Ozan Kabak
- 13Bernardo
- 34Vladimír Coufal
- 18Wouter Burger
- 19Tim Lemperle
- 11Fisnik Asllani
- 21Albian Hajdari
- 7Leon Avdullahu
- 29Bazoumana Touré
Borussia Dortmund
- 25Niklas Sule
- 20Marcel Sabitzer
- 4Nico Schlotterbeck
- 26Julian Ryerson
- 21Fábio Silva
- 1Gregor Kobel
- 3Waldemar Anton
- 24Daniel Svensson
- 14Maximilian Beier
- 17Carney Chukwuemeka
- 7Jobe Bellingham
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | +36 | 71 | |
| 2 | 32 | +11 | 57 |
Head to head
- Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia Dortmund2026-09-05
- Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hoffenheim2025-12-07
Match preview
Hoffenheim host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 18 April 2026. Hoffenheim sit 5th on 57 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 71. Hoffenheim have won 1 of their last 5 (WDLLD), while Borussia Dortmund have won 4 of 5 (WWWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Hoffenheim won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

