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FTMatchday 4

Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich: Prediction

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Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
HoffenheimBayern Munich
  1. Vladimír Coufalyellow card9'
  2. 12'Luis Díazyellow card
  3. 29'Leon Goretzkayellow card
  4. 44'Harry Kaneassist Lennart Karl
  5. 48'Harry Kanepenalty
  6. 62'Leon Goretzkaon
  7. 62'Lennart Karlon
  8. 62'Nicolas Jacksonon
  9. Muhammed Damaron67'
  10. 69'Min-jae Kimon
  11. 77'Harry Kanepenalty
  12. Wouter Burgeron78'
  13. Fisnik Asllanion78'
  14. Vladimír Coufal82'
  15. Vladimír Coufalon83'
  16. Leon Avdullahuon83'
  17. 86'Sacha Boeyon
  18. 90'Serge Gnabryassist Joshua Kimmich

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

HoffenheimBayern Munich
  • 38%Possession62%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)3
  • 12Shots18
  • 4Shots on target10
  • 5Corners5
  • 17Fouls9
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 6Saves3
  • 335Passes567

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

  • 1Oliver Baumann
  • 13Bernardo
  • 34Vladimír Coufal
  • 18Wouter Burger
  • 22Alexander Prass
  • 10Muhammed Damar
  • 11Fisnik Asllani
  • 21Albian Hajdari
  • 7Leon Avdullahu
  • 2Robin Hranáč
  • 29Bazoumana Touré

Bayern Munich

  • 9Harry Kane
  • 1Manuel Neuer
  • 4Jonathan Tah
  • 8Leon Goretzka
  • 27Konrad Laimer
  • 14Luis Díaz
  • 23Sacha Boey
  • 3Min-jae Kim
  • 11Nicolas Jackson
  • 45Aleksandar Pavlović
  • 42Lennart Karl

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1561

Recent form

HoffenheimWLW
Bayern MunichWWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern Munich32+8585
2Hoffenheim32+1157

Head to head

  • Bayern Munich 5–1 Hoffenheim2026-02-08

Match preview

Hoffenheim host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on 20 September 2025. Hoffenheim sit 5th on 57 points and Bayern Munich are 1st on 85. Hoffenheim have won 2 of their last 3 (WLW), while Bayern Munich have won 4 of 4 (WWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Hoffenheim won 0, Bayern Munich won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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