Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- ⚽Wouter Burger9'
- 46'⇄Arthuron
- 46'⇄Ezequiel Fernándezon
- Wouter Burgeryellow card48'
- 60'⇄Mark Flekkenon
- Robin Hranáčyellow card62'
- ⇄Fisnik Asllanion69'
- 74'⇄Ernest Pokuon
- ⇄Alexander Prasson79'
- ⇄Andrej Kramarićon79'
- 81'⇄Nathan Tellaon
- 84'Jarell Quansahyellow card
- ⇄Tim Lemperleon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 38%Possession62%
- 1.31Expected goals (xG)1.08
- 19Shots8
- 8Shots on target2
- 3Corners5
- 17Fouls7
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides1
- 2Saves7
- 348Passes574
Line-ups
Hoffenheim
- 1Oliver Baumann
- 27Andrej Kramarić
- 13Bernardo
- 34Vladimír Coufal
- 18Wouter Burger
- 19Tim Lemperle
- 22Alexander Prass
- 11Fisnik Asllani
- 21Albian Hajdari
- 7Leon Avdullahu
- 2Robin Hranáč
Bayer Leverkusen
- 20Alex Grimaldo
- 14Patrik Schick
- 1Mark Flekken
- 8Robert Andrich
- 5Loïc Badé
- 24Aleix García
- 10Malik Tillman
- 4Jarell Quansah
- 19Ernest Poku
- 13Arthur
- 6Ezequiel Fernández
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
HoffenheimWLWDW
Bayer LeverkusenLLWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hoffenheim | 32 | +11 | 57 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | +16 | 56 |
Head to head
- Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen2026-10-25
- Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 Hoffenheim2025-08-23
Match preview
Hoffenheim host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 17 January 2026. Hoffenheim sit 5th on 57 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 6th on 56. Hoffenheim have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWDW), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of 5 (LLWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Hoffenheim won 2, Bayer Leverkusen won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
