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FTMatchday 2

Heart of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1507

Recent form

Heart of MidlothianL
Sturm GrazW
#TeamPGDPts
1Sturm Graz4+36
2Heart of Midlothian2-60

Head to head

  • Sturm Graz 4–0 Heart of Midlothian2026-07-21

Match preview

Heart of Midlothian host Sturm Graz in the UEFA Champions League on 28 July 2026. Heart of Midlothian sit 80th on 0 points and Sturm Graz are 28th on 6. Heart of Midlothian have won 0 of their last 1 (L), while Sturm Graz have won 1 of 1 (W). In their last 1 meetings, Heart of Midlothian won 0, Sturm Graz won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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