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FTMatchday 8

Hamburg vs Wolfsburg: Prediction

📍 Volksparkstadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
HamburgWolfsburg
  1. 15'Adam Daghimassist Christian Eriksen
  2. 24'Vinicius Souzayellow card
  3. 28'Mohammed Amourayellow card
  4. 56'Vinicius Souzaon
  5. 56'Mohammed Amouraon
  6. Albert Sambi Lokongaon64'
  7. Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon64'
  8. 67'Jonas Windyellow card
  9. 67'Jonas Windon
  10. 67'Christian Eriksenon
  11. Luka Vuškovićyellow card70'
  12. 70'Mattias Svanbergyellow card
  13. William Mikelbrencison77'
  14. 85'Saël Kumbedion
  15. Nicolás Capaldoon88'
  16. Daniel Elfadlion88'
  17. 90'Patrick Wimmeryellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

HamburgWolfsburg
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)0
  • 26Shots6
  • 6Shots on target2
  • 11Corners1
  • 8Fouls18
  • 1Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 1Saves7
  • 501Passes332

Line-ups

Hamburg

  • 7Jean-Luc Dompe
  • 14Rayan Philippe
  • 1Daniel Fernandes
  • 6Albert Sambi Lokonga
  • 24Nicolás Capaldo
  • 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
  • 28Miro Muheim
  • 2William Mikelbrencis
  • 8Daniel Elfadli
  • 21Nicolai Remberg

Wolfsburg

  • 24Christian Eriksen
  • 27Maximilian Arnold
  • 23Jonas Wind
  • 1Kamil Grabara
  • 5Vinicius Souza
  • 26Saël Kumbedi
  • 9Mohammed Amoura
  • 14Jenson Seelt
  • 4Konstantinos Koulierakis
  • 25Aaron Zehnter
  • 11Adam Daghim

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1452

Recent form

HamburgLWDWL
WolfsburgDLLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Hamburg32-1436
2Wolfsburg32-2229

Head to head

  • Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburg2026-03-07

Match preview

Hamburg host Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga on 25 October 2025. Hamburg sit 11th on 36 points and Wolfsburg are 15th on 29. Hamburg have won 2 of their last 5 (LWDWL), while Wolfsburg have won 0 of 5 (DLLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Hamburg won 1, Wolfsburg won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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