Hamburg vs Union Berlin: Prediction
📍 Volksparkstadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- 28'⚽Leopold Querfeldpenalty
- ⚽Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferassist Robert Glatzel35'
- ⚽Nicolás Capaldoassist Bakery Jatta45'
- Luka Vuškovićyellow card50'
- 61'⇄Ilyas Ansahon
- 61'⇄Jeong Woo-yeongon
- Nicolás Capaldoyellow card64'
- ⇄Robert Glatzelon72'
- ⇄Philip Oteleon72'
- ⇄Bakery Jattaon74'
- 75'⇄Rani Khediraon
- ⚽Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferassist Giorgi Gocholeishvili82'
- 83'⇄Stanley Nsokion
- 83'⇄Aljoscha Kemleinon
- ⇄Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon87'
- ⇄Nicolás Capaldoon87'
- 89'⚽Andrej Ilićassist Oliver Burke
- William Mikelbrencisyellow card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 57%Possession43%
- 1.82Expected goals (xG)2.11
- 13Shots12
- 4Shots on target5
- 6Corners3
- 10Fouls6
- 3Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides3
- 3Saves1
- 448Passes335
Line-ups
Hamburg
- 18Bakery Jatta
- 25Jordan Torunarigha
- 9Robert Glatzel
- 1Daniel Fernandes
- 24Nicolás Capaldo
- 20Fábio Vieira
- 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
- 28Miro Muheim
- 21Nicolai Remberg
- 27Philip Otele
- 44Luka Vušković
Union Berlin
- 8Rani Khedira
- 5Danilho Doekhi
- 34Stanley Nsoki
- 1Frederik Rønnow
- 11Jeong Woo-yeong
- 28Christopher Trimmel
- 39Derrick Köhn
- 14Leopold Querfeld
- 6Aljoscha Kemlein
- 10Ilyas Ansah
- 23Andrej Ilić
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
HamburgLDDDW
Union BerlinDDLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburg | 32 | -14 | 36 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 32 | -15 | 35 |
Head to head
- Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburg2025-09-28
Match preview
Hamburg host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 14 February 2026. Hamburg sit 11th on 36 points and Union Berlin are 13th on 35. Hamburg have won 1 of their last 5 (LDDDW), while Union Berlin have won 0 of 5 (DDLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Hamburg won 0, Union Berlin won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
