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FTMatchday 12

Hamburg vs Stuttgart: Prediction

📍 Volksparkstadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
HamburgStuttgart
  1. Robert Glatzelassist Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit17'
  2. 23'Pascal Stenzelyellow card
  3. Robert Glatzelon33'
  4. 40'Chris Führichon
  5. 46'Pascal Stenzelon
  6. 54'Deniz Undav
  7. 58'Nikolas Narteyon
  8. Alexander Røssing-Lelesiityellow card65'
  9. William Mikelbrencison67'
  10. Albert Sambi Lokongaon67'
  11. Rayan Philippeon68'
  12. 74'Chema Andrésyellow card
  13. Alexander Røssing-Lelesiityellow card81'
  14. Alexander Røssing-Lelesiitred card81'
  15. 81'Deniz Undavyellow card
  16. 87'Josha Vagnomanyellow card
  17. 87'Ramon Hendrikson
  18. 87'Badredine Bouananion
  19. Badredine Bouananion88'
  20. Fábio Vieira90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

HamburgStuttgart
  • 34%Possession66%
  • 0.98Expected goals (xG)0.75
  • 9Shots14
  • 2Shots on target3
  • 4Corners6
  • 16Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 1Red cards0
  • 0Offsides1
  • 2Saves0
  • 277Passes542

Line-ups

Hamburg

  • 25Jordan Torunarigha
  • 14Rayan Philippe
  • 9Robert Glatzel
  • 1Daniel Fernandes
  • 6Albert Sambi Lokonga
  • 24Nicolás Capaldo
  • 28Miro Muheim
  • 2William Mikelbrencis
  • 38Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
  • 21Nicolai Remberg

Stuttgart

  • 33Alexander Nübel
  • 4Josha Vagnoman
  • 24Julian Chabot
  • 15Pascal Stenzel
  • 10Chris Führich
  • 28Nikolas Nartey
  • 3Ramon Hendriks
  • 2Ameen Dakhil
  • 11Bilal El Khannous
  • 27Badredine Bouanani
  • 30Chema Andrés

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1517

Recent form

HamburgWLLLL
StuttgartWWWLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Stuttgart32+2158
2Hamburg32-1436

Head to head

  • Hamburg 1–0 Stuttgart2026-10-17
  • Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburg2026-04-12

Match preview

Hamburg host Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 30 November 2025. Hamburg sit 11th on 36 points and Stuttgart are 4th on 58. Hamburg have won 1 of their last 5 (WLLLL), while Stuttgart have won 3 of 5 (WWWLD). In their last 2 meetings, Hamburg won 1, Stuttgart won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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