Hamburg vs St Pauli: Prediction
📍 Volksparkstadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 7'Adam Dźwigałayellow card
- 19'⚽Adam Dźwigałaassist Mathias Pereira-Lage
- Giorgi Gocholeishviliyellow card26'
- 37'Danel Sinaniyellow card
- 54'Arkadiusz Pyrkayellow card
- ⇄Alexander Røssing-Lelesiiton56'
- ⇄Emir Sahition56'
- 59'⇄Arkadiusz Pyrkaon
- 60'⚽Andréas Hountondjiassist Joel Fujita
- Yussuf Poulsenyellow card64'
- 69'⇄Andréas Hountondjion
- ⇄Daniel Elfadlion75'
- ⇄Nicolás Capaldoon75'
- Giorgi Gocholeishvilired card77'
- Giorgi Gocholeishviliyellow card77'
- ⇄Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon82'
- 82'⇄Adam Dźwigałaon
- 82'⇄Mathias Pereira-Lageon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 48%Possession52%
- 0Expected goals (xG)1
- 5Shots17
- 2Shots on target6
- 2Corners5
- 13Fouls19
- 3Yellow cards3
- 1Red cards0
- 1Offsides2
- 4Saves2
- 445Passes481
Line-ups
Hamburg
- 25Jordan Torunarigha
- 1Daniel Fernandes
- 24Nicolás Capaldo
- 17Warmed Omari
- 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
- 28Miro Muheim
- 8Daniel Elfadli
- 16Giorgi Gocholeishvili
- 29Emir Sahiti
- 38Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
- 21Nicolai Remberg
St Pauli
- 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
- 5Hauke Wahl
- 25Adam Dźwigała
- 8Eric Smith
- 16Joel Fujita
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 10Danel Sinani
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 27Andréas Hountondji
- 23Louis Oppie
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
HamburgD
St PauliD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburg | 32 | -14 | 36 |
| 2 | St Pauli | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- St Pauli 0–0 Hamburg2026-01-23
Match preview
Hamburg host St Pauli in the Bundesliga on 29 August 2025. Hamburg sit 11th on 36 points and St Pauli are 18th on 23. Hamburg have won 0 of their last 1 (D), while St Pauli have won 0 of 1 (D). In their last 1 meetings, Hamburg won 0, St Pauli won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
