Hamburg vs RB Leipzig: Prediction
📍 Volksparkstadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⇄Nicolás Capaldoon20'
- ⚽Fábio Vieiraassist William Mikelbrencis22'
- 31'Willi Orbanyellow card
- 36'⚽Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzassist Ridle Baku
- Philip Oteleyellow card45'
- 50'⚽Yan Diomandeassist Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
- 62'⚽Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzpenalty
- 63'Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzyellow card
- ⇄Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon67'
- ⇄Philip Oteleon67'
- ⇄Damion Downson67'
- 72'⇄Antonio Nusaon
- 72'⇄Brajan Grudaon
- Miro Muheimyellow card81'
- Yussuf Poulsenyellow card82'
- ⇄Fábio Vieiraon87'
- 90'⇄Yan Diomandeon
- 90'⇄Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 42%Possession58%
- 0.55Expected goals (xG)2.70
- 7Shots13
- 3Shots on target5
- 4Corners9
- 8Fouls12
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides0
- 3Saves2
- 362Passes499
Line-ups
Hamburg
- 25Jordan Torunarigha
- 1Daniel Fernandes
- 24Nicolás Capaldo
- 20Fábio Vieira
- 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
- 28Miro Muheim
- 2William Mikelbrencis
- 19Damion Downs
- 21Nicolai Remberg
- 27Philip Otele
- 44Luka Vušković
RB Leipzig
- 4Willi Orban
- 14Christoph Baumgartner
- 17Ridle Baku
- 22David Raum
- 26Maarten Vandevoordt
- 13Nicolas Seiwald
- 23Castello Lukeba
- 7Antonio Nusa
- 10Brajan Gruda
- 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
- 49Yan Diomande
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
HamburgDDDWW
RB LeipzigWDLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 32 | +21 | 64 |
| 2 | Hamburg | 32 | -14 | 36 |
Head to head
- RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburg2025-10-18
Match preview
Hamburg host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 1 March 2026. Hamburg sit 11th on 36 points and RB Leipzig are 3rd on 64. Hamburg have won 2 of their last 5 (DDDWW), while RB Leipzig have won 2 of 5 (WDLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Hamburg won 0, RB Leipzig won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
