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FTMatchday 26

Hamburg vs Köln: Prediction

📍 Volksparkstadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
HamburgKöln
  1. 32'Said El Malayellow card
  2. 36'Kristoffer Lund Hansenyellow card
  3. Fábio Vieiraassist William Mikelbrencis39'
  4. Nicolai Rembergyellow card41'
  5. 45'Said El Malaassist Rav van den Berg
  6. Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon66'
  7. Damion Downson67'
  8. 74'Said El Malaon
  9. 75'Ragnar Acheon
  10. 76'Jakub Kamińskiyellow card
  11. William Mikelbrencison79'
  12. Jordan Torunarighaon79'
  13. 84'Tom Kraußon
  14. Miro Muheimyellow card90'
  15. 90'Sebastian Sebulonsenyellow card
  16. Fábio Vieiraon90'
  17. 90'Jakub Kamińskion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

HamburgKöln
  • 45%Possession55%
  • 0.35Expected goals (xG)1.22
  • 5Shots11
  • 1Shots on target2
  • 1Corners8
  • 11Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 1Saves0
  • 376Passes457

Line-ups

Hamburg

  • 25Jordan Torunarigha
  • 1Daniel Fernandes
  • 6Albert Sambi Lokonga
  • 20Fábio Vieira
  • 17Warmed Omari
  • 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
  • 28Miro Muheim
  • 2William Mikelbrencis
  • 19Damion Downs
  • 21Nicolai Remberg
  • 44Luka Vušković

Köln

  • 1Marvin Schwabe
  • 5Tom Krauß
  • 9Ragnar Ache
  • 6Eric Martel
  • 18Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
  • 16Jakub Kamiński
  • 39Cenk Özkacar
  • 33Rav van den Berg
  • 32Kristoffer Lund Hansen
  • 13Said El Mala

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1442

Recent form

HamburgWWLLW
KölnWLLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Hamburg32-1436
2Köln32-1231

Head to head

  • Hamburg 2–1 Köln2026-09-19
  • Köln 4–1 Hamburg2025-11-02

Match preview

Hamburg host Köln in the Bundesliga on 14 March 2026. Hamburg sit 11th on 36 points and Köln are 14th on 31. Hamburg have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLLW), while Köln have won 1 of 5 (WLLLL). In their last 2 meetings, Hamburg won 1, Köln won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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