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FTMatchday 28

Hamburg vs Augsburg: Prediction

📍 Volksparkstadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
HamburgAugsburg
  1. 22'Arthur Chaves
  2. Philip Oteleyellow card41'
  3. Philip Oteleon46'
  4. Jordan Torunarighayellow card55'
  5. 59'Fabian Riederyellow card
  6. Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferassist Robert Glatzel60'
  7. Miro Muheimred card64'
  8. Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon67'
  9. Robert Glatzelon67'
  10. 80'Anton Kadeon
  11. 80'Robin Fellhaueron
  12. 81'Cédric Zesigeryellow card
  13. 87'Keven Schlotterbeckyellow card
  14. Keven Schlotterbeckon90'
  15. 90'Alexis Claude-Mauriceon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

HamburgAugsburg
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.59Expected goals (xG)2.29
  • 18Shots18
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 9Corners2
  • 12Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 1Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 2Saves3
  • 395Passes356

Line-ups

Hamburg

  • 25Jordan Torunarigha
  • 9Robert Glatzel
  • 1Daniel Fernandes
  • 6Albert Sambi Lokonga
  • 20Fábio Vieira
  • 17Warmed Omari
  • 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
  • 28Miro Muheim
  • 2William Mikelbrencis
  • 27Philip Otele
  • 44Luka Vušković

Augsburg

  • 38Michael Gregoritsch
  • 27Marius Wolf
  • 31Keven Schlotterbeck
  • 20Alexis Claude-Maurice
  • 1Finn Dahmen
  • 13Dimitris Giannoulis
  • 16Cédric Zesiger
  • 32Fabian Rieder
  • 30Anton Kade
  • 19Robin Fellhauer
  • 34Arthur Chaves

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1487

Recent form

HamburgLLWDL
AugsburgWWLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Augsburg32-1640
2Hamburg32-1436

Head to head

  • Augsburg 1–0 Hamburg2025-11-22

Match preview

Hamburg host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 4 April 2026. Hamburg sit 11th on 36 points and Augsburg are 9th on 40. Hamburg have won 1 of their last 5 (LLWDL), while Augsburg have won 2 of 5 (WWLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Hamburg won 0, Augsburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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