Hamburg vs Bayern Munich: Prediction
📍 Volksparkstadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- Nicolai Rembergyellow card23'
- ⚽Fábio Vieirapenalty34'
- 42'⚽Harry Kaneassist Joshua Kimmich
- 46'⇄Lennart Karlon
- 46'⚽Luis Díazassist Michael Olise
- ⚽Luka Vuškovićassist William Mikelbrencis53'
- Miro Muheimyellow card55'
- 57'Min-jae Kimyellow card
- ⇄Bakery Jattaon59'
- 65'⇄Min-jae Kimon
- 65'⇄Serge Gnabryon
- ⇄William Mikelbrencison73'
- ⇄Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon73'
- Albert Sambi Lokongayellow card75'
- Giorgi Gocholeishviliyellow card85'
- ⇄Albert Sambi Lokongaon85'
- ⇄Fábio Vieiraon85'
- 87'Harry Kaneyellow card
- Nicolás Capaldoyellow card90'
- Daniel Fernandesyellow card90'
- 90'Joshua Kimmichyellow card
- 90'Michael Oliseyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 28%Possession72%
- 2.25Expected goals (xG)2.41
- 14Shots13
- 4Shots on target7
- 3Corners9
- 12Fouls16
- 6Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides1
- 4Saves1
- 262Passes689
Line-ups
Hamburg
- 18Bakery Jatta
- 1Daniel Fernandes
- 6Albert Sambi Lokonga
- 24Nicolás Capaldo
- 20Fábio Vieira
- 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
- 28Miro Muheim
- 2William Mikelbrencis
- 8Daniel Elfadli
- 21Nicolai Remberg
- 44Luka Vušković
Bayern Munich
- 7Serge Gnabry
- 9Harry Kane
- 1Manuel Neuer
- 6Joshua Kimmich
- 2Dayot Upamecano
- 19Alphonso Davies
- 17Michael Olise
- 44Josip Stanišić
- 3Min-jae Kim
- 45Aleksandar Pavlović
- 42Lennart Karl
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
HamburgLDLDD
Bayern MunichWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 32 | +85 | 85 |
| 2 | Hamburg | 32 | -14 | 36 |
Head to head
- Bayern Munich 5–0 Hamburg2025-09-13
Match preview
Hamburg host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on 31 January 2026. Hamburg sit 11th on 36 points and Bayern Munich are 1st on 85. Hamburg have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLDD), while Bayern Munich have won 4 of 5 (WWWWL). In their last 1 meetings, Hamburg won 0, Bayern Munich won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
