Kick-off · Sat, 9 Jan, 08:00 pm ISTMatchday 15
Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction
Hamburg43%Away win
Bayer Leverkusen33% Home win24% Draw43% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.44 – 1.67
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1506
Recent form
HamburgLWWWLBayer LeverkusenWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | Hamburg | 6 | -5 | 9 |
Head to head
- Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburg2026-05-16
- Hamburg 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen2026-03-04
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
