Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction
📍 Volksparkstadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- ⇄Bakery Jattaon29'
- 40'Aleix Garcíayellow card
- ⇄Warmed Omarion65'
- ⇄Rayan Philippeon65'
- ⇄Damion Downson65'
- 71'⇄Martin Terrieron
- 73'⚽Christian Kofaneassist Ibrahim Maza
- 80'⇄Montrell Amare Culbreathon
- ⇄Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon81'
- 90'Exequiel Palaciosyellow card
- 90'⇄Ibrahim Mazaon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 37%Possession63%
- 1.27Expected goals (xG)1.89
- 10Shots14
- 3Shots on target4
- 2Corners7
- 12Fouls11
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides2
- 3Saves3
- 336Passes569
Line-ups
Hamburg
- 18Bakery Jatta
- 14Rayan Philippe
- 1Daniel Fernandes
- 20Fábio Vieira
- 17Warmed Omari
- 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
- 8Daniel Elfadli
- 16Giorgi Gocholeishvili
- 19Damion Downs
- 21Nicolai Remberg
- 44Luka Vušković
Bayer Leverkusen
- 20Alex Grimaldo
- 25Exequiel Palacios
- 8Robert Andrich
- 12Edmond Tapsoba
- 28Janis Blaswich
- 11Martin Terrier
- 24Aleix García
- 4Jarell Quansah
- 30Ibrahim Maza
- 35Christian Kofane
- 42Montrell Amare Culbreath
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
HamburgDDWWL
Bayer LeverkusenWWDWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | +16 | 56 |
| 2 | Hamburg | 32 | -14 | 36 |
Head to head
- Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburg2026-05-16
Match preview
Hamburg host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 4 March 2026. Hamburg sit 11th on 36 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 6th on 56. Hamburg have won 2 of their last 5 (DDWWL), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of 5 (WWDWD). In their last 1 meetings, Hamburg won 0, Bayer Leverkusen won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
