FTMatchday 14

Girona vs Real Madrid: Prediction

📍 Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona1

Real Madrid1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

GironaReal Madrid

Paulo Gazzanigayellow card42'
Azzedine Ounahiassist Viktor Tsygankov45'
46'Arda Güleron
Azzedine Ounahiyellow card59'
67'Kylian Mbappépenalty
Hugo Rincónon72'
Viktor Tsygankovon72'
Bryan Gilon72'
72'Aurelien Tchouamenion
Vladyslav Vanatyellow card74'
Vladyslav Vanaton83'
Azzedine Ounahion83'
90'Trent Alexander-Arnoldon
90'Fran Garcíaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

GironaReal Madrid

40%Possession60%
0.79Expected goals (xG)2.53
10Shots25
4Shots on target4
2Corners5
9Fouls13
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Offsides2
4Saves3
426Passes611

Line-ups

Girona

13Paulo Gazzaniga
20Axel Witsel
15Viktor Tsygankov
24Álex Moreno
21Bryan Gil
23Iván Martín
18Azzedine Ounahi
4Arnau Martínez
19Vladyslav Vanat
12Vitor Reis
2Hugo Rincón

Real Madrid

1Thibaut Courtois
22Antonio Rudiger
7Vinícius Júnior
12Trent Alexander-Arnold
10Kylian Mbappé
3Éder Militão
8Federico Valverde
14Aurelien Tchouameni
5Jude Bellingham
20Fran García
15Arda Güler

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1478 – 1567

Recent form

GironaWLDLW

Real MadridWWLDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	35	+40	82
2	Girona	35	-10	40

Head to head

Real Madrid 1–1 Girona2026-04-10

Match preview

Girona host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 30 November 2025. Girona sit 16th on 40 points and Real Madrid are 2nd on 82. Girona have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDLW), while Real Madrid have won 3 of 5 (WWLDW). In their last 1 meetings, Girona won 0, Real Madrid won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.