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FTMatchday 28

Girona vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction

📍 Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
GironaAthletic Bilbao
  1. Hugo Rincónassist Viktor Tsygankov4'
  2. 46'Andoni Gorosabelon
  3. 46'Robert Navarroon
  4. 68'Mikel Jauregizaron
  5. Vladyslav Vanaton70'
  6. Fran Beltránon70'
  7. 73'Oihan Sancetyellow card
  8. 74'Oihan Sanceton
  9. Azzedine Ounahiassist Claudio Echeverri77'
  10. 80'Iñaki Williamson
  11. 82'Álex Berengueryellow card
  12. Joel Rocaon83'
  13. Azzedine Ounahion83'
  14. Claudio Echeverriassist Viktor Tsygankov90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

GironaAthletic Bilbao
  • 47%Possession53%
  • 1.30Expected goals (xG)1.76
  • 14Shots20
  • 6Shots on target9
  • 2Corners9
  • 8Fouls16
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 8Saves2
  • 502Passes536

Line-ups

Girona

  • 17Daley Blind
  • 13Paulo Gazzaniga
  • 20Axel Witsel
  • 15Viktor Tsygankov
  • 8Fran Beltrán
  • 16Alejandro Francés
  • 18Azzedine Ounahi
  • 4Arnau Martínez
  • 3Joel Roca
  • 19Vladyslav Vanat
  • 2Hugo Rincón

Athletic Bilbao

  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 9Iñaki Williams
  • 17Yuri Berchiche
  • 7Álex Berenguer
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 8Oihan Sancet
  • 2Andoni Gorosabel
  • 3Dani Vivian
  • 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
  • 23Robert Navarro
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1478 – 1483

Recent form

GironaLDWDD
Athletic BilbaoDWWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Athletic Bilbao35-1241
2Girona35-1040

Head to head

  • Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Girona2025-09-23

Match preview

Girona host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 14 March 2026. Girona sit 16th on 40 points and Athletic Bilbao are 13th on 41. Girona have won 1 of their last 5 (LDWDD), while Athletic Bilbao have won 3 of 5 (DWWWL). In their last 1 meetings, Girona won 0, Athletic Bilbao won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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