Kick-off · Sat, 6 Feb, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 24
Fulham vs Manchester City: Prediction
Fulham52%Away win
Manchester City24% Home win24% Draw52% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.12 – 1.75
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1642
Recent form
FulhamDDLWWManchester CityWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Fulham | 8 | -2 | 8 |
Head to head
- Manchester City 3–0 Fulham2026-02-11
- Fulham 4–5 Manchester City2025-12-02
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
