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FTMatchday 4

Fulham vs Leeds United: Prediction

📍 Craven Cottage

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
FulhamLeeds United
  1. 11'Anton Stachyellow card
  2. Harry Wilsonon60'
  3. Joshua Kingon60'
  4. 64'Noah Okaforyellow card
  5. 68'Noah Okaforon
  6. 69'Dominic Calvert-Lewinon
  7. Alex Iwobion76'
  8. 77'Brenden Aaronsonon
  9. Sander Bergeyellow card79'
  10. Sander Bergeon84'
  11. Rodrigo Munizon84'
  12. 89'Daniel Jameson
  13. Gabriel Gudmundssonown goal90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FulhamLeeds United
  • 54%Possession46%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 5Shots10
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 3Corners3
  • 20Fouls14
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides3
  • 3Saves3
  • 435Passes380

Line-ups

Fulham

  • 17Alex Iwobi
  • 2Kenny Tete
  • 1Bernd Leno
  • 5Joachim Andersen
  • 30Ryan Sessegnon
  • 20Sasa Lukic
  • 8Harry Wilson
  • 16Sander Berge
  • 9Rodrigo Muniz
  • 3Calvin Bassey
  • 24Joshua King

Leeds United

  • 26Karl Darlow
  • 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 8Sean Longstaff
  • 6Joe Rodon
  • 4Ethan Ampadu
  • 19Noah Okafor
  • 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • 5Pascal Struijk
  • 2Jayden Bogle
  • 11Brenden Aaronson
  • 18Anton Stach

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1502

Recent form

FulhamDDWL
Leeds UnitedWLDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Fulham38-452
2Leeds United38-747

Head to head

  • Leeds United 1–0 Fulham2026-01-17

Match preview

Fulham host Leeds United in the Premier League on 13 September 2025. Fulham sit 11th on 52 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Fulham have won 1 of their last 4 (DDWL), while Leeds United have won 1 of 4 (WLDD). In their last 1 meetings, Fulham won 0, Leeds United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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