Kick-off · Thu, 31 Dec, 01:00 am ISTMatchday 18
Fulham vs Arsenal: Prediction
Fulham52%Away win
Arsenal24% Home win24% Draw52% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.12 – 1.75
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1644
Recent form
FulhamDDLWWArsenalWLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Fulham | 8 | -2 | 8 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 3–0 Fulham2026-05-02
- Fulham 0–1 Arsenal2025-10-18
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
