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FTMatchday 21

Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: Prediction

📍 Europa-Park Stadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
FreiburgWerder Bremen
  1. Jan-Niklas Besteassist Igor Matanovic13'
  2. Johan Manzambired card52'
  3. Vincenzo Grifoon56'
  4. 62'Julián Malatinion
  5. 62'Olivier Demanon
  6. Jan-Niklas Besteon68'
  7. Christian Gunteron68'
  8. Igor Matanovicon84'
  9. Patrick Osterhageon84'
  10. 84'Justin Njinmahon
  11. 84'Romano Schmidon
  12. 88'Senne Lynenon
  13. 90'Marco Friedlyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FreiburgWerder Bremen
  • 33%Possession67%
  • 0.46Expected goals (xG)0.83
  • 7Shots17
  • 2Shots on target5
  • 4Corners8
  • 8Fouls10
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 1Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 5Saves1
  • 281Passes556

Line-ups

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 30Christian Gunter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 32Vincenzo Grifo
  • 19Jan-Niklas Beste
  • 31Igor Matanovic
  • 6Patrick Osterhage
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 37Maximilian Rosenfelder
  • 43Bruno Ogbus
  • 44Johan Manzambi

Werder Bremen

  • 32Marco Friedl
  • 3Yukinari Sugawara
  • 20Romano Schmid
  • 6Jens Stage
  • 14Senne Lynen
  • 2Olivier Deman
  • 22Julián Malatini
  • 11Justin Njinmah
  • 30Mio Backhaus
  • 9Keke Topp
  • 31Abdoul Coulibaly

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1489

Recent form

FreiburgWLDWL
Werder BremenLDLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Freiburg32-841
2Werder Bremen32-2329

Head to head

  • Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen2026-08-30
  • Werder Bremen 0–3 Freiburg2025-09-20

Match preview

Freiburg host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 7 February 2026. Freiburg sit 8th on 41 points and Werder Bremen are 16th on 29. Freiburg have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDWL), while Werder Bremen have won 0 of 5 (LDLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Freiburg won 2, Werder Bremen won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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