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FTMatchday 26

Freiburg vs Union Berlin: Prediction

📍 Europa-Park Stadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
FreiburgUnion Berlin
  1. 17'Derrick Köhnyellow card
  2. Lucas Höleron61'
  3. 64'Ilyas Ansahon
  4. 64'Tim Skarkeon
  5. Derry Scherhanton77'
  6. Cyriaque Iriéon77'
  7. 80'Christopher Trimmelon
  8. 80'Janik Habereron
  9. Jordy Makengo Basambunduon86'
  10. 87'Livan Burcuon
  11. 90'Jeong Woo-yeongassist Stanley Nsoki
  12. 90'Livan Burcuyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FreiburgUnion Berlin
  • 73%Possession27%
  • 1.11Expected goals (xG)0.54
  • 19Shots9
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 6Corners2
  • 6Fouls19
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides4
  • 3Saves6
  • 625Passes222

Line-ups

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 9Lucas Höler
  • 31Igor Matanovic
  • 7Derry Scherhant
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 33Jordy Makengo Basambundu
  • 29Philipp Treu
  • 43Bruno Ogbus
  • 22Cyriaque Irié
  • 44Johan Manzambi

Union Berlin

  • 8Rani Khedira
  • 5Danilho Doekhi
  • 34Stanley Nsoki
  • 19Janik Haberer
  • 28Christopher Trimmel
  • 39Derrick Köhn
  • 21Tim Skarke
  • 10Ilyas Ansah
  • 23Andrej Ilić
  • 31Matheo Raab
  • 9Livan Burcu

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1455

Recent form

FreiburgLWLLD
Union BerlinLDLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Freiburg32-841
2Union Berlin32-1535

Head to head

  • Union Berlin 0–0 Freiburg2025-11-01

Match preview

Freiburg host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 15 March 2026. Freiburg sit 8th on 41 points and Union Berlin are 13th on 35. Freiburg have won 1 of their last 5 (LWLLD), while Union Berlin have won 0 of 5 (LDLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Freiburg won 0, Union Berlin won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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