FTMatchday 3

Freiburg vs Stuttgart: Prediction

📍 Europa-Park Stadion

Freiburg3

Stuttgart1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

FreiburgStuttgart

20'Ermedin Demirovićassist Jamie Leweling
Vincenzo Grifoon63'
63'Badredine Bouananion
76'Ermedin Demirovićon
76'Maximilian Mittelstädton
Lucas Höleron78'
Igor Matanovicassist Lukas Kübler81'
Patrick Osterhageon85'
Derry Scherhant86'
Jan-Niklas Besteon86'
89'Josha Vagnomanon
89'Atakan Karazoron
Igor Matanovicpenalty90'
Johan Manzambired card90'
90'Bilal El Khannousyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FreiburgStuttgart

46%Possession54%
2Expected goals (xG)1
14Shots7
6Shots on target2
7Corners1
8Fouls13
0Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
0Offsides2
1Saves3
360Passes458

Line-ups

Freiburg

28Matthias Ginter
8Maximilian Eggestein
3Philipp Lienhart
9Lucas Höler
17Lukas Kübler
32Vincenzo Grifo
19Jan-Niklas Beste
6Patrick Osterhage
1Noah Atubolu
33Jordy Makengo Basambundu
44Johan Manzambi

Stuttgart

33Alexander Nübel
9Ermedin Demirović
4Josha Vagnoman
7Maximilian Mittelstädt
24Julian Chabot
16Atakan Karazor
18Jamie Leweling
6Angelo Stiller
11Bilal El Khannous
27Badredine Bouanani
29Finn Jeltsch

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1517

Recent form

FreiburgLL

StuttgartLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Stuttgart	32	+21	58
2	Freiburg	32	-8	41

Head to head

Stuttgart 1–0 Freiburg2026-02-01

Match preview

Freiburg host Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 13 September 2025. Freiburg sit 8th on 41 points and Stuttgart are 4th on 58. Freiburg have won 0 of their last 2 (LL), while Stuttgart have won 1 of 2 (LW). In their last 1 meetings, Freiburg won 0, Stuttgart won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.