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FTMatchday 5

Freiburg vs Hoffenheim: Prediction

📍 Europa-Park Stadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
FreiburgHoffenheim
  1. Lukas Küblerassist Junior Adamu3'
  2. 13'Fisnik Asllaniassist Vladimír Coufal
  3. Lukas Kübleron38'
  4. 45'Arthur Chavesyellow card
  5. Jordy Makengo Basambunduyellow card48'
  6. 59'Alexander Prasson
  7. Junior Adamuon64'
  8. Vincenzo Grifoon64'
  9. 73'Leon Avdullahuon
  10. 73'Andrej Kramarićon
  11. Patrick Osterhageyellow card80'
  12. Jan-Niklas Besteon84'
  13. Eren Dinkçion84'
  14. 85'Wouter Burgeron
  15. 85'Fisnik Asllanion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FreiburgHoffenheim
  • 42%Possession58%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 6Shots15
  • 1Shots on target4
  • 6Corners8
  • 9Fouls15
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 3Saves0
  • 297Passes403

Line-ups

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 17Lukas Kübler
  • 32Vincenzo Grifo
  • 5Anthony Jung
  • 18Eren Dinkçi
  • 19Jan-Niklas Beste
  • 20Junior Adamu
  • 6Patrick Osterhage
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 33Jordy Makengo Basambundu

Hoffenheim

  • 1Oliver Baumann
  • 27Andrej Kramarić
  • 13Bernardo
  • 34Vladimír Coufal
  • 18Wouter Burger
  • 22Alexander Prass
  • 11Fisnik Asllani
  • 7Leon Avdullahu
  • 2Robin Hranáč
  • 29Bazoumana Touré
  • 35Arthur Chaves

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1501

Recent form

FreiburgLLWW
HoffenheimWLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Hoffenheim32+1157
2Freiburg32-841

Head to head

  • Hoffenheim 3–0 Freiburg2026-02-14

Match preview

Freiburg host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 28 September 2025. Freiburg sit 8th on 41 points and Hoffenheim are 5th on 57. Freiburg have won 2 of their last 4 (LLWW), while Hoffenheim have won 2 of 4 (WLWL). In their last 1 meetings, Freiburg won 0, Hoffenheim won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming