Freiburg vs Hamburg: Prediction
📍 Europa-Park Stadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 4'Daniel Elfadliyellow card
- Philipp Treuyellow card39'
- Philipp Lienhartyellow card43'
- ⇄Philipp Lienharton46'
- 48'⚽Luka Vuškovićassist Miro Muheim
- 51'Daniel Elfadliyellow card
- 51'Daniel Elfadlired card
- ⚽Vincenzo Grifopenalty53'
- 57'⇄Jean-Luc Dompeon
- 63'Luka Vuškovićyellow card
- ⇄Vincenzo Grifoon65'
- ⇄Lucas Höleron65'
- 77'Daniel Fernandesyellow card
- 78'⇄Bakery Jattaon
- 78'⇄Damion Downson
- ⇄Philipp Treuon79'
- 79'⇄Fábio Vieiraon
- ⚽Igor Matanovicassist Jan-Niklas Beste83'
- Patrick Osterhageyellow card90'
- 90'Alexander Røssing-Lelesiityellow card
- ⇄Johan Manzambion90'
- 90'⇄Albert Sambi Lokongaon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 60%Possession40%
- 2.83Expected goals (xG)0.64
- 20Shots10
- 7Shots on target5
- 0Corners3
- 13Fouls11
- 3Yellow cards5
- 0Red cards1
- 1Offsides0
- 5Saves5
- 514Passes341
Line-ups
Freiburg
- 28Matthias Ginter
- 30Christian Gunter
- 8Maximilian Eggestein
- 3Philipp Lienhart
- 9Lucas Höler
- 17Lukas Kübler
- 32Vincenzo Grifo
- 14Yuito Suzuki
- 1Noah Atubolu
- 29Philipp Treu
- 44Johan Manzambi
Hamburg
- 7Jean-Luc Dompe
- 18Bakery Jatta
- 1Daniel Fernandes
- 6Albert Sambi Lokonga
- 24Nicolás Capaldo
- 20Fábio Vieira
- 28Miro Muheim
- 8Daniel Elfadli
- 19Damion Downs
- 21Nicolai Remberg
- 44Luka Vušković
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
FreiburgLWLDW
HamburgLWWLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | 32 | -8 | 41 |
| 2 | Hamburg | 32 | -14 | 36 |
Head to head
- Hamburg 3–2 Freiburg2026-05-10
Match preview
Freiburg host Hamburg in the Bundesliga on 10 January 2026. Freiburg sit 8th on 41 points and Hamburg are 11th on 36. Freiburg have won 2 of their last 5 (LWLDW), while Hamburg have won 2 of 5 (LWWLD). In their last 1 meetings, Freiburg won 0, Hamburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
