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FTMatchday 19

Freiburg vs Köln: Prediction

📍 Europa-Park Stadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
FreiburgKöln
  1. 10'Maximilian Rosenfelderown goal
  2. Derry Scherhantassist Yuito Suzuki11'
  3. Igor Matanovicassist Matthias Ginter44'
  4. Lukas Kübleron55'
  5. 62'Tom Kraußyellow card
  6. Maximilian Rosenfelderon63'
  7. Patrick Osterhageon63'
  8. 67'Jan Thielmannon
  9. 69'Alessio Castro-Montesyellow card
  10. Derry Scherhantyellow card74'
  11. Derry Scherhanton76'
  12. Igor Matanovicon76'
  13. 77'Tom Kraußon
  14. 77'Kristoffer Lund Hansenon
  15. 87'Rav van den Bergon
  16. 87'Linton Mainaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FreiburgKöln
  • 47%Possession53%
  • 2.25Expected goals (xG)1.38
  • 13Shots19
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 5Corners5
  • 5Fouls9
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 4Saves3
  • 379Passes421

Line-ups

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 17Lukas Kübler
  • 19Jan-Niklas Beste
  • 31Igor Matanovic
  • 14Yuito Suzuki
  • 6Patrick Osterhage
  • 7Derry Scherhant
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 29Philipp Treu
  • 37Maximilian Rosenfelder

Köln

  • 1Marvin Schwabe
  • 29Jan Thielmann
  • 30Marius Bülter
  • 5Tom Krauß
  • 17Alessio Castro-Montes
  • 9Ragnar Ache
  • 37Linton Maina
  • 16Jakub Kamiński
  • 33Rav van den Berg
  • 32Kristoffer Lund Hansen
  • 28Sebastian Sebulonsen

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1442

Recent form

FreiburgDWWLD
KölnLLDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Freiburg32-841
2Köln32-1231

Head to head

  • Köln 4–1 Freiburg2025-08-31

Match preview

Freiburg host Köln in the Bundesliga on 25 January 2026. Freiburg sit 8th on 41 points and Köln are 14th on 31. Freiburg have won 2 of their last 5 (DWWLD), while Köln have won 1 of 5 (LLDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Freiburg won 0, Köln won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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