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FTMatchday 1

Freiburg vs Augsburg: Prediction

📍 Europa-Park Stadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
FreiburgAugsburg
  1. 32'Dimitris Giannoulis
  2. Eren Dinkçiyellow card37'
  3. Christian Gunteryellow card40'
  4. 42'Chrislain Matsimaassist Mert Kömür
  5. Matthias Ginteryellow card45'
  6. 45'Marius Wolf
  7. 50'Chrislain Matsimayellow card
  8. Vincenzo Grifopenalty58'
  9. 60'Dimitris Giannoulison
  10. Eren Dinkçion60'
  11. 61'Mert Kömüryellow card
  12. 68'Phillip Tietzyellow card
  13. 70'Elias Saadon
  14. Yuito Suzukion70'
  15. Christian Gunteron81'
  16. Johan Manzambion81'
  17. 86'Marius Wolfyellow card
  18. 86'Marius Wolfon
  19. 87'Robin Fellhaueron
  20. 90'Elvis Rexhbeçajyellow card
  21. Cyriaque Iriéyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FreiburgAugsburg
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 16Shots12
  • 4Shots on target5
  • 5Corners5
  • 14Fouls18
  • 4Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides3
  • 2Saves3
  • 457Passes296

Line-ups

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 30Christian Gunter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 3Philipp Lienhart
  • 9Lucas Höler
  • 17Lukas Kübler
  • 32Vincenzo Grifo
  • 18Eren Dinkçi
  • 14Yuito Suzuki
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 44Johan Manzambi

Augsburg

  • 6Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
  • 27Marius Wolf
  • 31Keven Schlotterbeck
  • 5Chrislain Matsima
  • 4Han-Noah Massengo
  • 1Finn Dahmen
  • 13Dimitris Giannoulis
  • 17Kristijan Jakić
  • 26Elias Saad
  • 19Robin Fellhauer
  • 36Mert Kömür

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1487

Recent form

Freiburg–
Augsburg–
#TeamPGDPts
1Freiburg32-841
2Augsburg32-1640

Head to head

  • Augsburg 1–2 Freiburg2026-10-31
  • Augsburg 2–2 Freiburg2026-01-18

Match preview

Freiburg host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 23 August 2025. Freiburg sit 8th on 41 points and Augsburg are 9th on 40. In their last 2 meetings, Freiburg won 1, Augsburg won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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