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Kick-off · Matchday 21

Freiburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Prediction

📍 Europa-Park Stadion

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.98 – 1.21
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1473

Recent form

FreiburgDWLLW
Eintracht FrankfurtDLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Freiburg7+313
2Eintracht Frankfurt7-78

Head to head

  • Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 Freiburg2026-09-19
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 Freiburg2026-03-01
  • Freiburg 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt2025-10-19

Why the model leans Freiburg

  • Freiburg rate higher on our strength scale (1518 vs 1473).
  • Freiburg are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
  • Head-to-head in our records: Freiburg 0, Eintracht Frankfurt 1, draws 2.
  • League table: Freiburg #4, Eintracht Frankfurt #14.
  • Expected goals from the model: Freiburg 2.0, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.2.

Match preview

Freiburg host Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on 13 February 2027. Freiburg sit 4th on 13 points and Eintracht Frankfurt are 14th on 8. Freiburg have won 2 of their last 5 (DWLLW), while Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2 of 5 (DLWLW). In their last 3 meetings, Freiburg won 0, Eintracht Frankfurt won 1 and 2 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Freiburg 55%, the draw 22% and Eintracht Frankfurt 23%, so Freiburg are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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